The probability that NBER will someday determine a national recession began in the US between December 2025 and December 2026 ...

Photo Illustration: Aïda Amer for Yahoo News, photos: Getty Images Concerns about the United States entering a recession have spiked in recent weeks after President Trump launched an aggressive tariff ...

If you’re confused about whether the U.S. economy in a recession, near a recession or doing OK, you’re not alone. Turns out the answer may depend on where you live, according to Moody’s Analytics ...

After pausing for nine months, the U.S. Federal Reserve resumed cutting interest rates on 17 September 2025. The recession forecasting method we've used to monitor the odds of a recession starting in ...

Some businesses slow down the moment the economy takes a hit. Others keep moving, and they tend to offer things people can’t really skip, even when budgets shrink: healthcare, food, repairs, basic ...

“U.S. Economic Growth Expected to Flatline in 2025. Tariffs Are the Main Reason.” – Barron’s (April 15, 2025) “If they don’t change the tariffs, it’s ...

Fresh off of her interview with President Donald Trump, MAGA-boosting Fox Business anchor Maria Bartiromo warned her viewers ...

Concerns about the United States entering a recession have spiked in recent weeks after President Trump launched an aggressive tariff campaign. While Trump initially put a 90-day pause on reciprocal ...