NEW YORK, May 10 (Reuters) - The cost of insuring exposure to U.S. government debt rose to fresh highs on Wednesday, as President Joe Biden and top lawmakers remained deadlocked in talks over raising ...

NEW YORK, May 31 (Reuters) - The probability of a U.S. default has declined to its lowest since January, according to MSCI estimates, as a debt ceiling deal gets closer to the finish line. The ...

As the debt ceiling talks continue and the United States edges closer to a potential default on its debt, the nation is at risk of losing its prized AAA rating. It shows that a country reliably pays ...

Download PDF More Formats on IMF eLibrary Order a Print Copy Create Citation We develop a mixed-frequency, tree-based, gradient-boosting model designed to assess the default risk of privately held ...

Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.27% this week from 4.29% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.63%, compared with 4.6% last week. As a result, the current 2-year/10-year ...

A US default would have such devastating economic and financial consequences that many observers dismiss the possibility out of hand. But investors are not ruling out such a nightmare scenario. As ...

Structural models of default are widely used to analyze corporate bond spreads, but have generally been unable to explain why risk premiums are as high as they are. This credit spread puzzle can be ...