The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 18 on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Sam Farmer makes his picks and predictions for the final week of the NFL regular season, with the 49ers beat the Seahawks and the Steelers prevailing.

Overall picks to win: 8-8 in Week 17 (173-82-1 for the season) Picks to win with 1-5 confidence: 4-7 (103-64-1) Picks to win with 6-10 confidence: 4-1 (70-18) Overall to cover the spread: 9-6-1 (130-117-9) Cover-the-spread picks with 1-5 confidence: 8-4-1 (107-93-8) Cover-the-spread picks with 6-10 confidence: 1-2 (23-23-1)

Picking the entire NFL slate in the final two weeks of the season is really challenging. Who is playing? Where's the motivation? Which players have their minds on Cancun and Aruba?  Those are my excuses for having a terrible Week 17.